Business Inflation Expectations Over The Short- And Long-Term

The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta publishes a monthly report titled “Business Inflation Expectations” (BIE) that contains statistics from a survey of regional businesses’ views on various factors that impact profitability.  These factors include unit costs, unit cost expectations, sales levels, pricing, profit margins, and other factors.

As described on the site:

“Approximately 300 panelists receive the survey each month. Panelists represent businesses of various sizes headquartered within the Sixth District, which encompasses Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and sections of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Tennessee. Panelists range from executives of large corporations to owner-operators of small businesses. The industry composition of the panel roughly reflects the makeup of the national economy. Nevertheless, survey responses are weighted by industry shares of national gross domestic product.”

An excerpt from the December 2022 BIE Survey dated December 14, 2022 (involving 184 firms responding):

  • Inflation expectations: Firms’ year-ahead inflation expectations decreased significantly to 3.1 percent, on average.
  • Current economic environment: Sales levels “compared to normal” decreased over the month, and profit margins “compared to normal” remained unchanged over the month. Year-over-year unit cost growth decreased significantly to 3.8 percent, on average.
  • Quarterly question: Firms’ long-term (per year, over the next five to 10 years) inflation expectations remain relatively unchanged at 3.1 percent, on average.
  • Special question: Firms were asked about prices and costs associated with their most important good(s) or service(s) or the average prices and costs of their most important good(s) or services(s). They were also asked about their inflation expectations over the next 12 months. A breakdown of the results can be found in the special question section below.


RevSD, LLC offers the above commentary for informational purposes only, and does not necessarily agree with all (or any) of the views expressed by these outside parties.

—– is published by RevSD, LLC.  RevSD, LLC is a management consulting firm and strategic advisory that focuses on the analysis of current and future business conditions, and given these conditions, offers corporations and businesses advice, strategies, and actionable methods on how to optimally increase revenues and profitability.