S&P500 Historical And Projected Net Profit Margins

For reference purposes, below are two charts depicting net profit margins for the S&P500.  Both charts are from the FactSet Earnings Insight report (pdf) dated July 12, 2013.

The first chart depicts S&P500 net margins (TTM) since mid-2003, as depicted:

Trailing 12M Net Margin: 10 Years

FactSet Earnings Insight 7-12-13 - SPX Trailing 12M Net Margin - 10 Years

The second chart depicts S&P500 quarterly net margins from Q4 2010 through Q1 2013, and projected net margins from Q2 2013, as depicted:

Quarterly Net Margins (Bottom-Up EPS / Bottom-Up SPS)

FactSet Earnings Insight 7-12-13 - SPX Quarterly Net Margins

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StratX, LLC offers the above data and projections for informational purposes only, and does not necessarily agree with information provided by these outside parties.

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StratX, LLC (stratxllc.com) is a management consulting firm and strategic advisory that focuses on the analysis of current and future business conditions, and offers corporations and businesses advice, strategies, and actionable methods on how to optimally increase revenues and profitability.

Q2 Revenues And Earnings Commentary

Today the Wall Street Journal published an article regarding the outlook for Q2 2013 earnings, titled “Earnings in Spotlight as Fed Jolt Fades.”  The article contains various statistics and commentary regarding projected earnings and revenue.

Here are two notable excerpts:

“We’d be very surprised if there was a huge pop in earnings,” says Wayne Lin, who helps oversee $9 billion as chief strategist at Legg Mason LM -0.69% Global Asset Allocation. “If you don’t have top-line growth and your margins are at historically high levels, where are you going to get your earnings from?”

also:

After years of boosting earnings through cost-cutting, many companies need revenue growth in order to keep the bottom line growing, analysts say. But that is a daunting challenge because of still-sluggish economic growth. Revenue at companies in the S&P 500 is expected to climb just 1% in the second quarter compared with a year earlier, according to FactSet.

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StratX, LLC offers the above commentary for informational purposes only, and does not necessarily agree with the views expressed by these outside parties.

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StratX, LLC (stratxllc.com) is a management consulting firm and strategic advisory that focuses on the analysis of current and future business conditions, and offers corporations and businesses advice, strategies, and actionable methods on how to increase revenue and profitability.

Note Concerning Estimated S&P500 Earnings Growth

The FactSet Earnings Insight report of June 21, 2013 had various notable commentary with regard to projected earnings growth and profitability trends for the S&P500:

from page 3:

No Change in Earnings Growth Rate This Week, But Cut by Almost 3/4 since March 31

The estimated earnings growth rate for the second quarter is 1.1%, unchanged from last week. Small upward revisions to earnings estimates for companies in the Financials sector were offset by small downward revisions to earnings estimates for companies in the Materials sectors during the week.
Largest Cuts to Estimates to date: Materials, Information Technology, and Industrials Sectors 
Since the start of the second quarter (March 31), analysts have reduced earnings growth expectations for Q2 2013 by almost three-fourths (to 1.1% from 4.3%). Eight of the ten sectors have lower expected earnings growth rates today relative to the start of the quarter, led by the Materials, Information Technology, and Industrials sectors. All three of these sectors have also witnessed a high percentage of companies issue negative EPS guidance for the quarter.

from page 4:

Estimated Earnings Growth (1.1%), but Falls to -2.2% Excluding the Financials Sector

The estimated earnings growth rate for the index for Q2 2013 is 1.1%. If this is the final growth rate for the quarter, it will mark the third consecutive quarter of earnings growth for the index after reporting an earnings decline in Q3 2011. However, only five of the ten sectors are projected to report higher earnings relative to a year ago, led by the Financials and Telecom Services sectors. On the other hand, the Information Technology sector is expected to report the lowest earnings growth of all ten sectors for the second consecutive quarter.

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StratX, LLC offers the above commentary for informational purposes only, and does not necessarily agree with the views expressed by these outside parties.

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StratX, LLC (stratxllc.com) is a management consulting firm and strategic advisory that focuses on the analysis of current and future business conditions, and offers corporations and businesses advice, strategies, and actionable methods on how to increase revenue and profitability.

S&P500 Consumer Staples Sector – Operating Margins And Sales Per Share Charts

For reference purposes, below are two charts depicting quarterly Operating Margins and quarterly Sales Per Share for the Consumer Staples Sector of the S&P500, as depicted.  Each chart begins in the third (September) quarter of 2010 and extends through the first quarter of 2013.  The first quarter of 2013 data is estimated, as shown.

The underlying data is from Standard & Poor’s earnings estimates for the S&P500, from the update of June 13, 2013:

S&P500 Consumer Staples Sector Operating Margins 6-13-13

S&P500 Consumer Staples Sector Sales Per Share 6-13-13

 

Companies in the Consumer Staples Sector include:

Altria Group Inc
Archer-Daniels-Midland Co
Avon Products
Beam Inc
Brown-Forman Corp B
Campbell Soup Co
Clorox Co
Coca-Cola Co
Coca-Cola Enterprises
Colgate-Palmolive Co
ConAgra Foods Inc
Constellation Brands Inc A
Costco Wholesale Corp
CVS Caremark Corp.
Dean Foods Co
Dr Pepper Snapple Group
Estee Lauder Cos.
General Mills Inc
Heinz H.J. Co
Hershey Foods Corp
Hormel Foods Corp
Kellogg Co
Kimberly-Clark
Kraft Foods Group Inc.
Kroger Co
Lorillard Inc
McCormick & Co
Mead Johnson Nutrition Co
Molson Coors Brewing Co B
Mondelez International Inc
Monster Beverage Corp
PepsiCo Inc
Philip Morris International
Procter & Gamble
Reynolds American Inc
Safeway Inc
Smucker J.M. Co
Sysco Corp
Tyson Foods Inc A
Wal-Mart Stores
Walgreen Co
Whole Foods Market Inc

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StratX, LLC offers the above commentary for informational purposes only, and does not necessarily agree with the views expressed by outside parties.

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StratX, LLC (stratxllc.com) is a management consulting firm and strategic advisory that focuses on the analysis of current and future business conditions, and offers corporations and businesses advice, strategies, and actionable methods on how to increase revenue and profitability.

S&P500 Consumer Discretionary Sector – Operating Margins And Sales Per Share Charts

For reference purposes, below are two charts depicting quarterly Operating Margins and quarterly Sales Per Share for the Consumer Discretionary Sector of the S&P500, as depicted.  Each chart begins in the third (September) quarter of 2010 and extends through the first quarter of 2013.  The first quarter of 2013 data is estimated, as shown.

The underlying data is from Standard & Poor’s earnings estimates for the S&P500, from the update of June 13, 2013:

S&P500 Consumer Discretionary Sector Operating Margins 6-13-13

S&P500 Consumer Discretionary Sector Sales Per Share 6-13-13

 

Companies in the S&P500 Consumer Discretionary Sector include:

Abercrombie & Fitch Company A
Amazon.com Inc
Apollo Group Inc
AutoNation Inc
AutoZone Inc
Bed Bath & Beyond Inc
Best Buy Co Inc
Block H & R Inc
Borgwarner Inc
Cablevision Systems Co A
Carmax Inc
Carnival Corp
CBS Corp B
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.
Coach Inc
Comcast Corp
Darden Restaurants Inc
Delphi Automotive PLC
DIRECTV
Discovery Communications Inc
Dollar General Corp
Dollar Tree Inc
Expedia
Family Dollar Stores Inc
Ford Motor Co
Fossil Inc
GameStop Corp A
Gannett Co Inc
Gap Inc
Garmin Ltd
Genuine Parts Co
Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co
Harley-Davidson Inc
Harman Intl Industries Inc
Hasbro Inc
Home Depot Inc
Horton D.R. Inc
Interpublic Group Cos
Intl Game Technology
Johnson Controls Inc
Kohl’s Corp
L Brands Inc
Leggett & Platt
Lennar Corp
Lowe’s Cos Inc
Macy’s Inc
Marriott Intl A
Mattel Inc
McDonald’s Corp
NetFlix Inc
Newell Rubbermaid Inc
News Corporation
NIKE Inc B
Nordstrom Inc
O’Reilly Automotive
Omnicom Group
Penney J.C. Inc
PETsMART Inc
Priceline.com Inc
Pulte Group Inc
PVH Corp
Ralph Lauren Corp
Ross Stores Inc
Scripps Networks Interactive
Staples Inc
Starbucks Corp
Starwood Hotel & Resort World
Target Corp
Tiffany & Co
Time Warner Cable Inc
Time Warner Inc
TJX Cos Inc
TripAdvisor Inc.
Urban Outfitters
VF Corp
Viacom Inc B
Walt Disney Co
Washington Post Co B
Whirlpool Corp
Wyndham Worldwide Corp
Wynn Resorts Ltd
Yum! Brands Inc

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StratX, LLC offers the above commentary for informational purposes only, and does not necessarily agree with the views expressed by outside parties.

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StratX, LLC (stratxllc.com) is a management consulting firm and strategic advisory that focuses on the analysis of current and future business conditions, and offers corporations and businesses advice, strategies, and actionable methods on how to increase revenue and profitability.