Firms’ Inflation Expectations For Year-Ahead And 5 Years Ahead

The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta publishes a monthly report titled “Business Inflation Expectations” (BIE) that contains statistics from a survey of regional businesses’ views on various factors that impact profitability.  These factors include unit costs, unit cost expectations, sales levels, pricing, profit margins, and other factors.

As described on the site:

“Approximately 300 panelists receive the survey each month. Panelists represent businesses of various sizes headquartered within the Sixth District, which encompasses Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and sections of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Tennessee. Panelists range from executives of large corporations to owner-operators of small businesses. The industry composition of the panel roughly reflects the makeup of the national economy. Nevertheless, survey responses are weighted by industry shares of national gross domestic product.”

An excerpt from the October 2022 BIE Survey dated October 12, 2022 (involving 166 firms responding):

  • Inflation expectations: Firms’ year-ahead inflation expectations remain relatively unchanged at 3.3 percent, on average.
  • Current economic environment: “Compared to normal,” both sales levels and profit margins significantly increased. Year-over-year unit cost growth remained relatively unchanged at 4.1 percent, on average.
  • Quarterly question: Firms’ sales gaps (percentage below “normal” unit sales levels) remain relatively unchanged at 2.1 percent below normal. Small, medium, and large firms’ unit sales gaps increased significantly.
  • Special question: Firms were asked about their inflation expectations for both one year ahead and five years ahead.. They were also asked about the distribution of their labor force by skill level and a further question regarding the labor market. A breakdown of the results can be found in the special question section below.

The report also includes other questions and a variety of charts and tables depicting respondents’ answers.

_____

RevSD, LLC offers the above commentary for informational purposes only, and does not necessarily agree with all (or any) of the views expressed by these outside parties.

—–

ProfitabilityIssues.com is published by RevSD, LLC.  RevSD, LLC is a management consulting firm and strategic advisory that focuses on the analysis of current and future business conditions, and given these conditions, offers corporations and businesses advice, strategies, and actionable methods on how to optimally increase revenues and profitability.

Firms’ Inflation Expectations For Both Year-Ahead And 5-10 Years

The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta publishes a monthly report titled “Business Inflation Expectations” (BIE) that contains statistics from a survey of regional businesses’ views on various factors that impact profitability.  These factors include unit costs, unit cost expectations, sales levels, pricing, profit margins, and other factors.

As described on the site:

“Approximately 300 panelists receive the survey each month. Panelists represent businesses of various sizes headquartered within the Sixth District, which encompasses Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and sections of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Tennessee. Panelists range from executives of large corporations to owner-operators of small businesses. The industry composition of the panel roughly reflects the makeup of the national economy. Nevertheless, survey responses are weighted by industry shares of national gross domestic product.”

An excerpt from the September 2022 BIE Survey dated September 14, 2022 (involving 164 firms responding):

  • Inflation expectations: Firms’ year-ahead inflation expectations decreased significantly to 3.3 percent, on average.
  • Current economic environment: Sales levels “compared to normal” decreased over the month, and profit margins “compared to normal” increased over the month. Year-over-year unit cost growth decreased significantly to 4.1 percent, on average.
  • Quarterly question: Firms’ long-term (per year, over the next five to 10 years) inflation expectations decreased to 3.2 percent, on average.
  • Special question: Firms were asked about their typical, current, and year-ahead average monthly turnover rate. They were also asked about their ability to hire new employees. A breakdown of the results can be found in the special question section below.

The report also includes other questions and a variety of charts and tables depicting respondents’ answers.

_____

RevSD, LLC offers the above commentary for informational purposes only, and does not necessarily agree with all (or any) of the views expressed by these outside parties.

—–

ProfitabilityIssues.com is published by RevSD, LLC.  RevSD, LLC is a management consulting firm and strategic advisory that focuses on the analysis of current and future business conditions, and given these conditions, offers corporations and businesses advice, strategies, and actionable methods on how to optimally increase revenues and profitability.

Business Inflation Expectations And Extent Of Business Disruptions

The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta publishes a monthly report titled “Business Inflation Expectations” (BIE) that contains statistics from a survey of regional businesses’ views on various factors that impact profitability.  These factors include unit costs, unit cost expectations, sales levels, pricing, profit margins, and other factors.

As described on the site:

“Approximately 300 panelists receive the survey each month. Panelists represent businesses of various sizes headquartered within the Sixth District, which encompasses Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and sections of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Tennessee. Panelists range from executives of large corporations to owner-operators of small businesses. The industry composition of the panel roughly reflects the makeup of the national economy. Nevertheless, survey responses are weighted by industry shares of national gross domestic product.”

An excerpt from the August 2022 BIE Survey dated August 10, 2022 (involving 173 firms responding):

  • Inflation expectations: Firms’ year-ahead inflation expectations decreased significantly to 3.5 percent, on average.
  • Current economic environment: Sales levels “compared to normal” remain unchanged. Profit margins decreased, however, but they remain at historically normal levels. Year-over-year unit cost growth remains relatively unchanged at 4.3 percent, on average.
  • Quarterly question: Approximately 40 percent of firms expect both labor costs and nonlabor costs to put significant upward influence on prices. About 64 percent of firms—a historically high share—expect sales levels to put little or no influence on prices over the next 12 months. Approximately 40 percent of firms expect margin adjustment to put moderate upward influence on prices over the next 12 months.
  • Special question: Firms were asked about the business operation disruptions they’ve experienced, if any. They were then asked to rate the severity of their experienced disruptions and estimate how long they will persist. A breakdown of the results can be found in the special question section below.

The report also includes other questions and a variety of charts and tables depicting respondents’ answers.

_____

RevSD, LLC offers the above commentary for informational purposes only, and does not necessarily agree with all (or any) of the views expressed by these outside parties.

—–

ProfitabilityIssues.com is published by RevSD, LLC.  RevSD, LLC is a management consulting firm and strategic advisory that focuses on the analysis of current and future business conditions, and given these conditions, offers corporations and businesses advice, strategies, and actionable methods on how to optimally increase revenues and profitability.

Firms’ Inflation Expectations And Concerns Regarding A Recession

The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta publishes a monthly report titled “Business Inflation Expectations” (BIE) that contains statistics from a survey of regional businesses’ views on various factors that impact profitability.  These factors include unit costs, unit cost expectations, sales levels, pricing, profit margins, and other factors.

As described on the site:

“Approximately 300 panelists receive the survey each month. Panelists represent businesses of various sizes headquartered within the Sixth District, which encompasses Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and sections of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Tennessee. Panelists range from executives of large corporations to owner-operators of small businesses. The industry composition of the panel roughly reflects the makeup of the national economy. Nevertheless, survey responses are weighted by industry shares of national gross domestic product.”

An excerpt from the July 2022 BIE Survey dated July 13, 2022 (involving 172 firms responding):

  • Inflation expectations: Firms’ year-ahead inflation expectations remain relatively unchanged at 3.7 percent, on average.
  • Current economic environment: “Compared to normal,” sales levels and profit margins remain relatively unchanged. Year-over-year unit cost growth slightly increased at 4.4 percent, on average.
  • Quarterly question: Firms’ sales gap (percentage below “normal” unit sales levels) decreased significantly to 2.2 percent below normal. Small firms are more affected by the decrease of their unit sales levels, with 5.1 percent below “normal.”
  • Special question: Firms were asked about their current sales levels compared to pre-COVID. They were also questioned regarding their expectations about changes sales levels during the next 12 months. In addition to these questions, they were asked about recession or potential recession. A breakdown of the results can be found in the special question section below.

The report also includes other questions and a variety of charts and tables depicting respondents’ answers.

_____

RevSD, LLC offers the above commentary for informational purposes only, and does not necessarily agree with all (or any) of the views expressed by these outside parties.

—–

ProfitabilityIssues.com is published by RevSD, LLC.  RevSD, LLC is a management consulting firm and strategic advisory that focuses on the analysis of current and future business conditions, and given these conditions, offers corporations and businesses advice, strategies, and actionable methods on how to optimally increase revenues and profitability.

Firms’ Long-Term Inflation Expectations And Effect Of Supply Disruptions

The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta publishes a monthly report titled “Business Inflation Expectations” (BIE) that contains statistics from a survey of regional businesses’ views on various factors that impact profitability.  These factors include unit costs, unit cost expectations, sales levels, pricing, profit margins, and other factors.

As described on the site:

“Approximately 300 panelists receive the survey each month. Panelists represent businesses of various sizes headquartered within the Sixth District, which encompasses Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and sections of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Tennessee. Panelists range from executives of large corporations to owner-operators of small businesses. The industry composition of the panel roughly reflects the makeup of the national economy. Nevertheless, survey responses are weighted by industry shares of national gross domestic product.”

An excerpt from the June 2022 BIE Survey dated June 15, 2022 (involving 185 firms responding):

  • Inflation expectations: Firms’ year-ahead inflation expectations remain relatively unchanged at 3.7 percent, on average.
  • Current economic environment: “Compared to normal,” although sales levels decreased, profit margins remained relatively unchanged. Year-over-year unit cost growth slightly increased at 4.3 percent, on average.
  • Quarterly question: Firm’s long-run inflation expectations significantly increased at 3.5 percent, on average, and 87 percent of firms are expecting their unit costs to increase in the long run. Both the long-term inflation expectation (3.5 percent) and the percent of firms that expect unit costs to increase very significantly (31 percent) are at an all-time high.
  • Special question: Firms were asked whether or not they experienced supply chain disruptions or delays. They were also asked, for those who experienced supply chain disruptions or delays, how they affected the firms and how they would describe the current supply chain disruptions or delays. A breakdown of the results can be found in the special question section below.

The report also includes other questions and a variety of charts and tables depicting respondents’ answers.

_____

RevSD, LLC offers the above commentary for informational purposes only, and does not necessarily agree with all (or any) of the views expressed by these outside parties.

—–

ProfitabilityIssues.com is published by RevSD, LLC.  RevSD, LLC is a management consulting firm and strategic advisory that focuses on the analysis of current and future business conditions, and given these conditions, offers corporations and businesses advice, strategies, and actionable methods on how to optimally increase revenues and profitability.