Firms’ Year-Ahead Inflation Expectations And Bank Deposit Issues

The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta publishes a monthly report titled “Business Inflation Expectations” (BIE) that contains statistics from a survey of regional businesses’ views on various factors that impact profitability.  These factors include unit costs, unit cost expectations, sales levels, pricing, profit margins, and other factors.

As described on the site:

“Approximately 300 panelists receive the survey each month. Panelists represent businesses of various sizes headquartered within the Sixth District, which encompasses Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and sections of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Tennessee. Panelists range from executives of large corporations to owner-operators of small businesses. The industry composition of the panel roughly reflects the makeup of the national economy. Nevertheless, survey responses are weighted by industry shares of national gross domestic product.”

An excerpt from the April 2023 BIE Survey dated April 12, 2023 (involving 200 firms responding):

  • Inflation expectations: Firms’ year-ahead inflation expectations decreased significantly to 2.8 percent, on average.
  • Current economic environment: Sales levels “compared to normal” increased. However, profit margins “compared to normal” remained relatively unchanged. Year-over-year unit cost growth significantly decreased to 3.6 percent, on average.
  • Quarterly question: Firms’ sales gaps (percentage below “normal” unit sales levels) increased to 4.0 percent below normal. Medium and large firms’ unit sales gaps increased significantly. However, small businesses experienced a significant decrease in unit sales gaps.
  • Special question: Firms were asked about their reactions to the most recent bank failures. They were also asked about their turnover rate. A breakdown of the results can be found in the special question section below.

The report also includes other questions and a variety of charts and tables depicting respondents’ answers.

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RevSD, LLC offers the above commentary for informational purposes only, and does not necessarily agree with all (or any) of the views expressed by these outside parties.

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ProfitabilityIssues.com is published by RevSD, LLC.  RevSD, LLC is a management consulting firm and strategic advisory that focuses on the analysis of current and future business conditions, and given these conditions, offers corporations and businesses advice, strategies, and actionable methods on how to optimally increase revenues and profitability.

Short- And Longer-Term Business Inflation Expectations

The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta publishes a monthly report titled “Business Inflation Expectations” (BIE) that contains statistics from a survey of regional businesses’ views on various factors that impact profitability.  These factors include unit costs, unit cost expectations, sales levels, pricing, profit margins, and other factors.

As described on the site:

“Approximately 300 panelists receive the survey each month. Panelists represent businesses of various sizes headquartered within the Sixth District, which encompasses Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and sections of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Tennessee. Panelists range from executives of large corporations to owner-operators of small businesses. The industry composition of the panel roughly reflects the makeup of the national economy. Nevertheless, survey responses are weighted by industry shares of national gross domestic product.”

An excerpt from the March 2023 BIE Survey dated March 15, 2023 (involving 167 firms responding):

  • Inflation expectations: Firms’ year-ahead inflation expectations increased significantly to 3.1 percent, on average.
  • Current economic environment: Sales levels “compared to normal” decreased over the month, and profit margins “compared to normal” remained unchanged over the month. Year-over-year unit cost growth increased significantly to 3.8 percent, on average.
  • Quarterly question: Firms’ long-term (per year, over the next five to 10 years) inflation expectations remain unchanged at 3.1 percent, on average.
  • Special question: Firms were asked about the percent of their operating costs attributable to energy usage structures. They were also asked about energy cost increases and the impact on their firms if energy costs increase 50 percent more than their expectations.. A breakdown of the results can be found in the special question section below.

The report also includes other questions and a variety of charts and tables depicting respondents’ answers.

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RevSD, LLC offers the above commentary for informational purposes only, and does not necessarily agree with all (or any) of the views expressed by these outside parties.

—–

ProfitabilityIssues.com is published by RevSD, LLC.  RevSD, LLC is a management consulting firm and strategic advisory that focuses on the analysis of current and future business conditions, and given these conditions, offers corporations and businesses advice, strategies, and actionable methods on how to optimally increase revenues and profitability.

Firms’ Year-Ahead CPI Inflation Forecast

The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta publishes a monthly report titled “Business Inflation Expectations” (BIE) that contains statistics from a survey of regional businesses’ views on various factors that impact profitability.  These factors include unit costs, unit cost expectations, sales levels, pricing, profit margins, and other factors.

As described on the site:

“Approximately 300 panelists receive the survey each month. Panelists represent businesses of various sizes headquartered within the Sixth District, which encompasses Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and sections of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Tennessee. Panelists range from executives of large corporations to owner-operators of small businesses. The industry composition of the panel roughly reflects the makeup of the national economy. Nevertheless, survey responses are weighted by industry shares of national gross domestic product.”

An excerpt from the February 2023 BIE Survey dated February 15, 2023 (involving 171 firms responding):

  • Inflation expectations: Firms’ year-ahead inflation expectations remain relatively unchanged at 2.9 percent, on average.
  • Current economic environment: Sales levels “compared to normal” increased but remain negative. Firms’ profit margins “compared to normal” decreased. Year-over-year unit cost growth significantly decreased at 3.5 percent, on average.
  • Quarterly question: Approximately 82 percent of firms expect both labor and nonlabor costs to place upward influence on prices. About 51 percent of firms expect sales levels to exert little or no influence on prices over the next 12 months. Approximately 50 percent of firms expect margin adjustment to have little or no influence on prices over the next 12 months.
  • Special question: Firms were asked about realized aggregate inflation in the United States over the last 12 months as measured by the CPI. They were also asked about their expected inflation over the next 12 months in the United States as measured by the CPI. A breakdown of the results can be found in the special question section below.

The report also includes other questions and a variety of charts and tables depicting respondents’ answers.

_____

RevSD, LLC offers the above commentary for informational purposes only, and does not necessarily agree with all (or any) of the views expressed by these outside parties.

—–

ProfitabilityIssues.com is published by RevSD, LLC.  RevSD, LLC is a management consulting firm and strategic advisory that focuses on the analysis of current and future business conditions, and given these conditions, offers corporations and businesses advice, strategies, and actionable methods on how to optimally increase revenues and profitability.

Firms’ Inflation Forecasts And Business Environment Responses

The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta publishes a monthly report titled “Business Inflation Expectations” (BIE) that contains statistics from a survey of regional businesses’ views on various factors that impact profitability.  These factors include unit costs, unit cost expectations, sales levels, pricing, profit margins, and other factors.

As described on the site:

“Approximately 300 panelists receive the survey each month. Panelists represent businesses of various sizes headquartered within the Sixth District, which encompasses Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and sections of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Tennessee. Panelists range from executives of large corporations to owner-operators of small businesses. The industry composition of the panel roughly reflects the makeup of the national economy. Nevertheless, survey responses are weighted by industry shares of national gross domestic product.”

An excerpt from the January 2023 BIE Survey dated January 11, 2023 (involving 152 firms responding):

  • Inflation expectations: Firms’ year-ahead inflation expectations remain relatively unchanged at 3.0 percent, on average.
  • Current economic environment: “Compared to normal,” sales levels remained relatively unchanged. However, profit margins “compared to normal” significantly decreased. Year-over-year unit cost growth remained relatively unchanged at 3.7 percent, on average.
  • Quarterly question: Firms’ sales gaps (percentage below “normal” unit sales levels) significantly decreased to 4.6 percent below normal. Small, medium, and large firms’ unit sales gaps decreased significantly.
  • Special question: Firms were asked about their most pressing concerns. A breakdown of the results can be found in the special question section below.

The report also includes other questions and a variety of charts and tables depicting respondents’ answers.

_____

RevSD, LLC offers the above commentary for informational purposes only, and does not necessarily agree with all (or any) of the views expressed by these outside parties.

—–

ProfitabilityIssues.com is published by RevSD, LLC.  RevSD, LLC is a management consulting firm and strategic advisory that focuses on the analysis of current and future business conditions, and given these conditions, offers corporations and businesses advice, strategies, and actionable methods on how to optimally increase revenues and profitability.

Business Inflation Expectations Over The Short- And Long-Term

The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta publishes a monthly report titled “Business Inflation Expectations” (BIE) that contains statistics from a survey of regional businesses’ views on various factors that impact profitability.  These factors include unit costs, unit cost expectations, sales levels, pricing, profit margins, and other factors.

As described on the site:

“Approximately 300 panelists receive the survey each month. Panelists represent businesses of various sizes headquartered within the Sixth District, which encompasses Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and sections of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Tennessee. Panelists range from executives of large corporations to owner-operators of small businesses. The industry composition of the panel roughly reflects the makeup of the national economy. Nevertheless, survey responses are weighted by industry shares of national gross domestic product.”

An excerpt from the December 2022 BIE Survey dated December 14, 2022 (involving 184 firms responding):

  • Inflation expectations: Firms’ year-ahead inflation expectations decreased significantly to 3.1 percent, on average.
  • Current economic environment: Sales levels “compared to normal” decreased over the month, and profit margins “compared to normal” remained unchanged over the month. Year-over-year unit cost growth decreased significantly to 3.8 percent, on average.
  • Quarterly question: Firms’ long-term (per year, over the next five to 10 years) inflation expectations remain relatively unchanged at 3.1 percent, on average.
  • Special question: Firms were asked about prices and costs associated with their most important good(s) or service(s) or the average prices and costs of their most important good(s) or services(s). They were also asked about their inflation expectations over the next 12 months. A breakdown of the results can be found in the special question section below.

_____

RevSD, LLC offers the above commentary for informational purposes only, and does not necessarily agree with all (or any) of the views expressed by these outside parties.

—–

ProfitabilityIssues.com is published by RevSD, LLC.  RevSD, LLC is a management consulting firm and strategic advisory that focuses on the analysis of current and future business conditions, and given these conditions, offers corporations and businesses advice, strategies, and actionable methods on how to optimally increase revenues and profitability.